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CLIMATE SCIENCE
China hits back at claims it is blocking climate talks
by Staff Writers
Bonn (AFP) May 24, 2012

NOAA: 2012 sees normal hurricane season
Miami (UPI) May 24, 2012 - The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration Thursday predicted a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season.

For the six-month season, which begins June 1, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center said there's a 70 percent chance of nine to 15 named storms (with top winds of 39 mph or higher), of which four to eight will strengthen to a hurricane (with top winds of 74 mph or higher).

Of those hurricanes, one to three will become major hurricanes (with top winds of 111 mph or higher, ranking Category 3, 4 or 5), a NOAA release said Thursday.

"NOAA's outlook predicts a less active season compared to recent years," NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco said. "But regardless of the outlook, it's vital for anyone living or vacationing in hurricane-prone locations to be prepared."

More accurate forecasts about a storm's intensity at landfall and extending the forecast period beyond five days will help America become a more prepared national, she said.

"We're stepping up to meet this challenge through our Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, which has already demonstrated exciting early progress toward improving storm intensity forecasts," Lubchenco said.


China hit back Thursday at claims it was holding up global climate talks in Germany, saying the United States, Europe and other rich states were the ones applying the brakes.

Developed nations are trying to wriggle out of legal targets to curb global warming, Chinese chief negotiator Su Wei told AFP.

"They try to evade the legally binding commitments," he said on the sidelines of negotiations in the former German capital Bonn.

On Wednesday, the European Union warned that the effort to forge a new global pact on climate change by 2015 was in danger of floundering, and some negotiators pointed the finger at China.

"It is very dirty communication politics," Su said sharply, insisting his country has "shown a lot of flexibility."

European participants said China was blocking attempts to launch a negotiating track, set up only six months ago at talks under the UN banner in Durban, South Africa.

Known by the initials ADP -- for ad-hoc talks on the "Durban Platform" -- the track is supposed to draft a new climate pact by 2015 binding all nations, rich and poor, to take effect by 2020.

But the arena has been badly troubled since the Bonn talks began on May 14, and only a few hours remain on Friday for resolving big organisational problems and appointing officials.

Su named the United States, Europe, Japan, Canada, Australia and New Zealand as among countries abusing the Durban Platform "to jump from the legally binding system" established under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

"They try to evade the legally binding commitments under the KP and the LCA," he said, referring to the Kyoto Protocol and so-called Long-term Cooperative Action.

Under the Kyoto Protocol, whose first leg ends this year, 37 industrial countries are held to specific goals for slashing emissions of Earth-warming greenhouse gases. Poorer countries have no binding targets.

The LCA is a process under which the 195 parties of the UNFCCC target a two-degree-Celsius (3.6-degree-Fahrenheit) global warming limit.

"They are using the Durban Platform as a scapegoat for them to have no legally binding commitments because the Durban discussions... are not legally binding," said Su of the rich countries.

On Wednesday, Danish chief negotiator Christian Pilgaard Zinglersen warned about the state of the talks.

"If this slow pace of negotiations continues... it poses the risk of unraveling the Durban package," he said, speaking for the EU.

French climate ambassador Serge Lepeltier said that China specifically "gives the impression of having hardened its positions since Durban."

China is by far the world's number one carbon emitter and its 1.3 billion people are swiftly getting wealthier, which causes the country to burn ever more coal, gas and oil.

But it is also arguing fiercely for the 20-year-old UNFCCC principle that developing countries should not be asked to shoulder the same burden as rich economies for tackling the greenhouse-gas problem.

Environmental groups added their voice to the row.

"We are very concerned that the blame game has started to blame the developing countries like China for blocking. What we see is that the countries who are actually blocking are the northern parties, the developed countries," said Meena Raman of the Third World Network.

"When developing countries try and focus on the heart of the matter, on how we are to deal with emission cuts in a principled way, they get accused of 'procedural blocking'," added Mithika Mwenda of the Pan African Climate Justice Alliance.

"To us Africans, facing the deadly droughts and changing rainfall patterns, what is blocking this process is the US refusing to negotiate its emission target at all. Blocking is the European Union offering a business-as-usual 20-percent target while allowing weak accounting rules in the Kyoto Protocol."

Canada meanwhile insisted it remained "committed" to fighting global warming despite last year becoming the first country to quit Kyoto.

"We came here to confirm our willingness to start negotiations on a new accord as soon as possible," chief negotiator Guy Saint-Jacques told AFP.

Earlier this month, Canada said it would not reach its aim of reducing greenhouse gases by 17 percent from 2005 levels by 2020.

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People's summit alongside Rio+20 to draw 20,000 daily
Rio De Janeiro (AFP) May 24, 2012 - A "people's summit" of social movements set to take place here next month in parallel with the UN Rio+20 summit on sustainable development will draw nearly 20,000 people daily, organizers said Thursday.

"We have reduced from 1,011 to 600 the number of planned activities and scrapped all governmental ones" during the gathering which will take place June 13-22 in southern Rio's Flamengo park, spokeswoman Fatima Mello told reporters.

The people's summit will notably feature debates, forums and concerts as well as "171 territories of the future" and concrete experiments, on topics like solar energy, undertaken in various countries.

Mello said the activities will be carried out by 200 international networks, with representatives of groups like the farmers' organization "Via Campesina", indigenous people, Afro-Brazilians, women and youth.

They will denounce the "green capitalism" advocated by the Rio+20 gathering, which will draw 115 world leaders and more than 50,000 representatives from around the world from June 20 to 22.

"We view with mistrust the intrusion of the private sector in universal sectors like water and air which should be in the hands of the public sector," Mello said.

"It's a new way found by the big corporations to repackage capitalism and they will not abandon their profits based on ecological factors," said Marcelo Durao, a spokesman for Via Campesina.

"Today, we are present in the national environment commission and the government has earmarked $5 million for the organization of the people's summit," according to Mello.

Organizers fear that because of the international economic crisis, the summit's focus will be on only one debate: "recession versus development".

"We must take up social justice, full employment, other production models which do not view nature as an infinite resource," said Mello.

Next month's people's summit was announced at the World Social Forum in the southern Brazilian city of Porto Alegre in January.

The Forum, which drew around 40,000 participants this year, has its roots in 1999 street protests in the US city of Seattle during a World Trade Organization meeting but it settled on Porto Alegre as its regular venue 12 years ago when it drew 20,000 activists from around the world.



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1,000 years of climate data confirms Australia's warming
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In the first study of its kind in Australasia, scientists have used 27 natural climate records to create the first large-scale temperature reconstruction for the region over the last 1000 years. The study was led by researchers at the University of Melbourne and used a range of natural indicators including tree rings, corals and ice cores to study Australasian temperatures over the past mi ... read more


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