. Energy News .




CLIMATE SCIENCE
Climate change: drought benchmark is flawed - study
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Nov 14, 2012


A scientific method used in a landmark UN report that said warming was intensifying global drought is badly flawed, a study published on Wednesday said.

Contrary to what the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggested in 2007, there is little evidence that global droughts have become longer or more extreme in recent decades, it said.

But, it cautioned, some regions have experienced more droughts and others less so.

Published in the journal Nature, the study takes aim at a technique called the Palmer Drought Severity Index, or PDSI.

The PDSI was used as the basis by the IPCC in its 4th Assessment Report, a document that stoked deep concern about global warming, leading to the 2009 Copenhagen Summit on climate change.

The 4th Assessment Report said it was likely that "more intense and longer droughts" had been observed "over wider areas" since the 1970s.

But, according to a team led by Princeton University environmental scientist Justin Sheffield, the PDSI is a blunt instrument that should be tossed out.

Developed in the 1960s to help allocate aid for stricken US farmers, it calculates drought risk on the basis of rising temperatures, but does not use other factors that affect soil evaporation, they said.

"The previously reported increase in global drought is overestimated because the PDSI uses a simplified model of potential evaporation that responds only to changes in temperature and thus responds incorrectly to global warming in recent decades," the investigators said.

"More realistic calculations, based on the underlying physical principles that take into account changes in available energy, humidity and wind speed, suggest that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years."

Why the PDSI remains in use is "a curiosity," the team said pointedly, warning of the risk of overestimating the impacts from climate change.

The IPCC stepped back from its 2007 drought assessment in a special report on extreme events, published this year.

That report, dubbed SREX, said "there are still large uncertainties regarding observed global-scale trends in droughts."

In line with Wednesday's study and other recent research, SREX said some regions had seen an increase in drought trends, and others a decrease.

The 938-page, 4th Assessment Report came under attack from climate skeptics after one of its sections was found to have several inaccuracies.

In 2010, a five-month independent probe into "Climategate" recommended an overhaul of the IPCC's workings to avoid similar slips in its 5th assessment report, due to be published in 2014.

But it did not challenge its core findings, which are accepted by the overwhelming majority of climate scientists.

.


Related Links
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review

Newsletters :: SpaceDaily Express :: SpaceWar Express :: TerraDaily Express :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News

Get Our Free Newsletters
Space - Defense - Environment - Energy - Solar - Nuclear

...





CLIMATE SCIENCE
UK butterfly populations threatened by extreme drought and landscape fragmentation
London, UK (SPX) Nov 02, 2012
A new study has found that the sensitivity and recovery of UK butterfly populations to extreme drought is affected by the overall area and degree of fragmentation of key habitat types in the landscape. The analysis, published in the scientific journal Ecography, used data on the Ringlet butterfly collected from 79 UK Butterfly Monitoring Scheme sites between 1990 and 1999, a period which s ... read more


CLIMATE SCIENCE
Surveying Earth's interior with atomic clocks

Storms, Ozone, Vegetation and More: NASA-NOAA Suomi NPP Satellite Returns First Year of Data

NASA's SPoRT Team Tracks Hurricane Sandy

Sizing up biomass from space

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Quattro Group Gains Visibility And Control With Ctrack

Gazprom to Launch Two Satellites by Yearend

Research cruise testing EGNOS satnav for ships

Two SOPS accepts command and control of newest GPS satellite

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Inspiration from Mother Nature leads to improved wood

Action needed to prevent more devastating tree diseases entering the UK

Texas A and M scientist taking infrared laser look at forests

Forest fertilization can increase production, decrease carbon emissions

CLIMATE SCIENCE
14,000 Jobs Possible from Military Biofuels Initiative

Airbus, EADS and ENN make a push for new generation aviation fuels

A Better Route to Xylan

More Bang for the Biofuel Buck

CLIMATE SCIENCE
2012 National Solar Jobs Census Finds Installers Leading the Way

Balfour Beatty Communities and SolarCity Team Up

Midwestern Solar Icon Moves into Solar

Eclipsall Solar PV Panels Featured on Three Municipal Buildings

CLIMATE SCIENCE
AREVA deploys its industrial plan to produce a 100 percent French wind power technology

Gannets could be affected by offshore energy developments

Scotland approves 85MW Highlands wind farm

China backs suit against Obama over wind farm deal

CLIMATE SCIENCE
US shale gas drives up coal exports

Coal investment in Queensland unlikely

Australian coal projects mega polluters?

Australian coal basin may be top 10 polluter: Greenpeace

CLIMATE SCIENCE
China's Xi says party faces problems including graft

China appoints respected economist to target graft

Penpics of China's new Communist Party leaders

Child journalists grill ministers at China congress




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2012 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement