Energy News  
CLIMATE SCIENCE
Climate change made deadly S. Africa rains twice as likely
By Marlowe HOOD
Paris (AFP) May 13, 2022

Rainfall that caused catastrophic floods and landslides last month in and around Durban, South Africa, was made twice as likely by global warming, scientists said Friday.

An exceptional downpour -- more than 35 centimetres (14 inches) over two days -- on April 11-12 claimed hundreds of lives and caused $1.5 billion in damage across the provinces KwaZulu-Natal and Eastern Cape.

Without climate change, rain of this intensity would happen roughly once every 40 years, according to a report from the World Weather Attribution consortium, a global network of scientists that quantify the impact of a warming world on individual extreme weather events.

But an increase in Earth's average surface temperature of nearly 1.2 degrees Celsius since the late-19th century has shortened that interval to about 20 years.

"The probability of an event such as the rainfall that resulted in this disaster has approximately doubled due to human-induced climate change," the scientists said in a statement.

As the planet continues to hot up in coming decades, so too will the frequency and intensity of devastating floods caused by these downpours, they warned.

The same is true for heatwaves, droughts, tropical cyclones -- also known as hurricanes or typhoons -- and wildfires.

Most of the world's nations have embraced a target of capping global warming at 1.5C, but current greenhouse gas reduction commitments would see temperatures rise far higher.

- Basic physics -

Scientists have long predicted such impacts. In the case of heavy rains, it's basic physics: every extra degree of global warming increases the amount of water in the atmosphere by about seven percent.

But only recently has an accumulation of climate data and more sophisticated tools made it possible to answer the most obvious of questions: To what extent is a particular weather disaster caused by global warming?

The heatwave, for example, that gripped western North America last June -- sending temperatures in Canada to a record 49.6C (121F) -- would have been "virtually impossible" without human-induced climate change, the WWA determined.

And record-setting rainfall and flooding last July in Germany and Belgium that left more than 200 dead up was made up to nine times more likely.

Friederike Otto, lead author of the South Africa assessment, said the destruction was a result not just rainfall intensity, but the exposure of human populations.

"Most people who died in the floods lived in informal settlements," said Otto, a scientist at Imperial College London's Grantham Institute and a pioneer in the burgeoning field of event attribution studies.

"So, again, we are seeing how climate change disproportionately impacts the most vulnerable people."

Early warning systems and urban infrastructure such sewage systems and flood controls are also critical factors.

The WWA is currently assessing the unprecedented heatwave that scorched large swathes of India and Pakistan during March and April.


Related Links
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


CLIMATE SCIENCE
Even chance world will breach 1.5C warming within 5 years: UN
Geneva (AFP) May 9, 2022
There is an even chance that global temperatures will temporarily breach the benchmark of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in one of the next five years, the United Nations warned Tuesday. The 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change saw countries agree to cap global warming at "well below" 2C above levels measured between 1850 and 1900 - and 1.5C if possible. "The chance of global near-surface temperature exceeding 1.5C above pre-industrial levels at least one year between 2022 an ... read more

Comment using your Disqus, Facebook, Google or Twitter login.



Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Earth from Space: Arc de Triomphe

Global calibration benchmark network for remote sensors completed

Recommendation algorithms that power Amazon, Netflix can improve satellite imagery, too

Confirmed: Atmospheric helium levels are rising

CLIMATE SCIENCE
China Satellite Navigation Conference to highlight digital economy, intelligent navigation

406 Day: how Galileo helps save lives

NASA uses moonlight to improve satellite accuracy

Identifying RF and GPS interferences for military applications with satellite data

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Brazil firms, NGOs urge Biden to create forest fund

Why trees aren't a climate change cure-all

What we're still learning about how trees grow

Ability of forests to sequester carbon may become more limited

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Ultrathin fuel cell uses the body's own sugar to generate electricity

Mystery solved about active phase in catalytic CO2 reduction to methanol

Using human energy to heat buildings will pay off

Dung power: India taps new energy cash cow

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Scientists create reliable and renewable biological photovoltaic cell

Towards more efficient, non-toxic, and flexible thin-film solar cells

Citizen science for the advancement of solar energy

Renewable energy to grow to new record in 2022: IEA

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Transport drones for offshore wind farms

Lack of marshaling ports hindering offshore wind industry

Favourable breezes boost Spain's wind power sector

Brazil to hold first offshore wind tender by October: official

CLIMATE SCIENCE
India relaxes environment rules for coal mines, citing heatwave

India to reopen abandoned coal mines as heatwave hits supply

China cuts coal import taxes to zero to ensure energy supply

Coal still top threat to global climate goals: report

CLIMATE SCIENCE
China's consumer inflation picks up in April in virus flare-up

US, China congratulate Marcos for Philippine election win

Chinese developer Sunac misses $29.5m payment as defaults rumble on

China defends Hong Kong cardinal's arrest as Western alarm grows









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.