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Iran tensions keep oil prices at 9-month highs
by Staff Writers
New York (AFP) Feb 22, 2012



World oil prices clung at nine-month highs Wednesday, boosted by fears that tensions over key crude producer Iran's nuclear program could curb supplies.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in April, finished its first day of trade down a mere three cents at $106.28 a barrel.

In London, Brent North Sea oil for April leaped $1.24 from Tuesday to settle at $122.90 a barrel.

The price of the benchmark New York contract has jumped nearly 10 percent since the start of February and investors appeared happy to push it higher.

"It is a crazy market," said Phil Flynn at PFG Best Research.

After crude oil prices spiked sharply higher Tuesday on news the European Union and Greece finally agreed a second bailout deal, developments in Iran bolstered the markets.

"We did have a reaction to a break of the nuclear talks with Iran," Flynn said, referring to Iran's refusal to allow UN inspectors access to a key military site.

The visit by the team from the International Atomic Energy Agency was aimed at clarifying issues surrounding possible military aspects of Iran's nuclear program.

Flynn said the market was responding to growing tensions over the West's assertions that Iran is developing nuclear weapons. Iran insists its nuclear program is for civilian uses.

"How do we get out of this conflict with Iran?" he said. "Right now the market is saying there is no way out!"

Capital Economics analyst Julian Jessop warned on Wednesday that the oil market could spike beyond $200 per barrel if the situation escalates.

"Oil prices could surge if Iran tensions escalate and this would be a game-changer," Jessop said.

"Brent might spike as high as $210 in a worst-case scenario involving the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

"But our view remains that any such escalation would be a military, economic and political disaster for Iran, as well as something that the West would want to avoid too."

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Iraq eyes options in case Hormuz closed
Baghdad (AFP) Feb 22, 2012 - Iraq is mulling options to boost oil exports through Turkey or to reopen disused pipelines in case Iran blocks the strategic Strait of Hormuz as threatened, the planning minister said on Wednesday.

Iran has threatened retaliation for fresh Western sanctions over its nuclear programme, including a possible disruption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a Gulf chokepoint for global oil shipments.

"Government committees have been formed in Iraq" and have discussed options "if, God forbid, the Strait of Hormuz is closed," Planning Minister Ali Yusuf al-Shukri told a news conference in Baghdad.

The vast majority of Iraq's oil is exported from terminals in the northern Gulf and passes through the Strait.

One option is increasing exports through a pipeline that runs into Turkey to one million barrels per day (bpd), from the current figure of 400 to 450,000 bpd, he said.

"We also discussed with the Lebanese and Syrian sides activating the Baniyas-Tripoli pipeline," which has been closed since 1990, he said.

He said another proposal submitted to the Iraqi cabinet was to reopen a long-disused pipeline to Saudi Arabia, though this idea had not yet been broached with Riyadh.

Iraqi government spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh told AFP in an interview earlier this month his country was worried by US-Iran tensions and would be one of the worst affected if the Strait of Hormuz was closed to shipments of crude oil.

"Unfortunately, Iraq till now did not build up the infrastructure which could diversify the export of oil. Till now the pipeline with Syria is not operative, the pipeline with Turkey is still in low capacity," he said.

"Definitely, we urge both Iran and the United States to... solve the problems in a good way," Dabbagh said.



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Washington (AFP) Feb 22, 2012
A jump in gasoline prices is threatening to smother the flickering flames of the US economic recovery and with them President Barack Obama's hopes of retaining the White House. Groggy but still standing after a four-year slog through recession, the US economy has - just about - weathered shocks from Japan's earthquake and tsunami, the Arab Spring and Europe's ongoing debt crisis. Now, ... read more


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